1. Ukupheliswa kwe-"time-of-use equity pricing" esekelwe kumgaqo-nkqubo kuya kuba yinto eqhelekileyo. Ekupheleni kuka-2025, iKhomishini yoPhuhliso noHlaziyo lweSizwe kunye noLawulo lweMandla lweSizwe bakhuphe ngokulandelelana "Isaziso sokwenza umsebenzi olungileyo ekusayineni nasekuzalisekiseni iiKhontrakthi zoMbane zeXesha eliPhakathi nelide zowama-2026" kunye "neMithetho eSiseko yeMarike yoMbane yeXesha eliPhakathi nelide", zombini ezithi ngokucacileyo:
Ngokomgaqo, abathathi-nxaxheba kwimarike ngokuthe ngqo abasayi kuphinda basebenzise amaxabiso ombane amiselwe ngurhulumente ngexesha lokusetyenziswa.
Lungiselela indlela yokusebenzisa amaxabiso ombane aphakathi naphakathi. Zonke iingingqi kufuneka ziqinisekise ukuba umgaqo-nkqubo wokusebenzisa umbane okwixesha eliphezulu kunye nelithafa kunye namaxabiso ombane wentengiselwano yemarike. Ngokomgaqo-siseko, abathathi-nxaxheba kwimarike ngokuthe ngqo abayi kuphinda baxhomekeke kumaxabiso ombane akwixesha lokusebenzisa achazwe ngurhulumente. Omabini amaqela kwizivumelwano zexesha eliphakathi nelide ayakhuthazwa ukuba asayine izivumelwano eziphendula kubonelelo lwemarike.
Kwimibutho yezoshishino ebandakanyeka ngokuthe ngqo kwiintengiselwano zemarike, akuyi kubakho migqaliselo yokwenziwa kwinqanaba kunye nexesha lokusetyenziswa kwamaxabiso ombane. Kubasebenzisi bokuthenga umbane be-arhente yegridi, isebe lamaxabiso likarhulumente liya kulungelelanisa kwaye liphucule ulwahlulo lwamaxesha e-peak kunye namaxesha angengo-peak kunye nomlinganiselo wokuguquguquka kwamaxabiso ngokusekelwe kwinqanaba lexabiso lemarike.
Emva koko, kwiinkcukacha zokuphunyezwa kweentengiselwano zexesha eliphakathi nelide zowama-2026 kwiphondo laseLiaoning, eSichuan, eShaanxi, eYunnan, eHenan, naseShanxi, kwachazwa ngokucacileyo ngaphandle kokukhetha ukuba inqanaba kunye nexesha lamaxabiso ombane osetyenziswayo ayisazukumiselwa ngokwenziwa ukuba amashishini athathe inxaxheba ngokuthe ngqo kwiintengiselwano zemarike. Oku akuthethi ukuba amaxabiso ombane osetyenziswayo aza kuphela, kodwa endaweni yoko indlela yokwakheka kwawo itshintshe kakhulu - ukusuka "kwixabiso likarhulumente" ukuya "kwixabiso lemarike". Phantsi kwempembelelo yobudlelwane bobonelelo lombane kunye neemfuno kunye neentengiselwano ezijolise kwimarike, amaxabiso ombane aphezulu, aqhelekileyo, kunye nangaphandle kwencopho aya kuvela ngokwendalo ngokwesibonelelo semarike kunye neemfuno, kwaye ukuguquguquka kwamaxabiso ombane kuya kubonisa ngokuchanekileyo ngakumbi iimeko zemarike zexesha langempela.
Nangona kunjalo, amaxabiso ombane asekelwe kwimarike (TOU) abeke imingeni emibini emikhulu kwimodeli "ye-peak-valley arbitrage" yeenkqubo zokugcina amandla zoshishino nezentengiso zemveli.
Icebo lokuhlala ixesha liqinile, nto leyo eyenza kube nzima ukuhambelana neemfuno zombane. Iinkqubo zokugcina amandla zemveli zihlala zitshaja kwaye zikhupha ixesha elimiselweyo, nto leyo eyenza kube nzima ukunxulumana nomlinganiselo wokusetyenziswa kombane wabasebenzisi. Ingakumbi kwimeko "yokugcina amandla e-photovoltaic + energy", ukungabikho kwezakhono zokulungelelanisa eziguquguqukayo kunokukhokelela ekusetyenzisweni okuncinci kwamandla okugcina okanye ukungaphumeleli ukuhlangabezana neemfuno zombane.
2) Ukuguquguquka kwexabiso lombane kuyakhula, nto leyo eyenza ukuba i-arbitrage ibe nzima ngakumbi. Ngenxa yonxibelelwano phakathi kwexabiso lombane elisetyenziswa ngexesha lokusetyenziswa kunye nemarike ye-spot, amaxabiso ombane anokutshintshatshintsha ngeyure okanye imizuzu eli-15, apho amaxabiso ombane aphezulu afikelela ngaphezulu kwe-1 yuan/kWh. Ngexesha lokuveliswa kwamandla aphezulu e-photovoltaic, amaxabiso ombane angaphantsi anokubakho. Amaqhinga azinzileyo emveli ayasokola ukuziqhelanisa nendawo enzima kangaka yokubeka amaxabiso ombane. Ngoko ke, phantsi kwendlela entsha yemarike yombane, indawo yokugcina amandla kwimizi-mveliso nakwimizi-mveliso kufuneka ifune njani iziphakamiso ezintsha zexabiso?
II. Ukusuka kwi-"Peak-Valley Arbitrage" ukuya kwi-"Microgrid Balancer" Amava avela kwiimarike zombane ezivuthiweyo eYurophu abonisa ukuba okukhona inqanaba lokuthengisa liphezulu, kokukhona iimeko zokusetyenziswa zibanzi kwaye ixabiso leenkqubo zokugcina amandla liyabonakala ngakumbi. Indima yazo iguquka ukusuka kwisixhobo esilula "se-peak-valley arbitrage" ukuya kwi-"intelligent balancer ye-photovoltaic esasazekileyo kunye ne-energy storage microgrids".
1. IPoland: Ibhili yombane ephakathi yabasebenzisi inciphe ngama-50%, kwaye ingeniso ye-photovoltaic (PV) inyukile ngama-200%! Ukusukela ngo-2025, iPolish Electricity Exchange iqalise amaxabiso ombane atshintshatshintshayo, amaxabiso etshintshatshintsha ngexesha langempela. Umsebenzisi ohlala eWarsaw, ikomkhulu, ufake inkqubo yokugcina amandla yeSiggy exhotyiswe ngamaqhinga okucwangcisa i-AI, eseka i-microgrid encinci yokugcina i-PV ekrelekrele. Ngexesha lexesha lokubeka amaxabiso ombane omiselweyo, irhafu yokungenisa i-PV yayiyi-0.22–0.44 zlotys kuphela kwi-kWh. Emva kokutshintshela kumaxabiso ombane atshintshatshintshayo kunye nokudibanisa inkqubo yokugcina i-PV ekrelekrele, ngokusebenzisa amaqhinga okugcina amandla kunye nokucwangcisa akrelekrele, kwakunokwenzeka "ukugcina umbane" ngexesha leefestile ezixabiso liphantsi kunye "nokukhulula" ngexesha lamaxabiso aphezulu, ukufikelela ekongeni iindleko zombane kunye nokuphucula ingeniso. Idatha yokusebenza yonyaka omnye ibonisa ukuba iindleko zokuthenga umbane zomsebenzisi zehle zaya kuma-0.55 zlotys kwi-kWh, ukwehla phantse ngama-50%; umrhumo ophakathi we-PV feed-in unyukile waya kwi-1.09 zlotys nge-kWh, ingeniso inyukile ngama-220%-300%, kwaye izinga lokuzisebenzisa ngokwalo linyukile ngaphezulu kwama-200%.
2. ESweden: Iinkqubo ze-Smart PV-ESS zinciphisa iindleko zombane zabasebenzisi ngomyinge we-52.7%! Nangona iprojekthi enye ePoland isenokuba yimeko engaqhelekanga, idatha yezibalo evela kwiiprojekthi ezingaphezu kwama-2,500 eSweden imele ngokubanzi. Kutshanje, iSiger New Energy yenze uhlalutyo olucwangcisiweyo lwedatha yokusebenza evela kwiiprojekthi ezingaphezu kwama-2,500 ze-smart PV-ESS eSweden yaza yafumanisa ukuba iindleko zombane zabasebenzisi ziye zehla ngomyinge we-70.3%! Imarike yombane yaseSweden yahlulwe yangamacandelo amane (SE1-SE4) ngokusekelwe kwisakhiwo sokusebenza kwegridi, kwaye ngaphezulu kwama-2,500 eeprojekthi ezizimeleyo zisasazwa kuzo zonke ezi ngingqi zine. Bonke abasebenzisi badweliswe ukusuka kweyona iphantsi ukuya kweyona iphezulu, njengoko kubonisiwe kumfanekiso ongezantsi.
Idatha ibonisa ukuba ukwehla okuphakathi kweebhili zombane kubasebenzisi yi-70.3%, kunye nokwehla okuphakathi kwe-52.7%. Oku kungafani akubangelwa kukuphazamiseka kwabantu ngabanye, kodwa kubangelwa kukuba abanye abasebenzisi kwiindawo ezinexabiso eliphezulu lombane baye bafumana imbuyekezo ephezulu yokonga.
1. Ukuthunyelwa ngobuchule okusekelwe kwi-AI: Ukuqonda amaxabiso ombane kunye nokusetyenziswa kombane ukuze kufezekiswe ukunciphisa iindleko kunye nokuphucula ukusebenza kakuhle kwimeko yamaxabiso ombane aguqukayo akunakufezekiswa ngaphandle kokunikwa amandla okunzulu kwetekhnoloji ye-AI. Inkqubo yogcino lwe-photovoltaic ekrelekrele kunye nokugcina amandla ifezekisa ezi zakhono zilandelayo ngokudibanisa iimodeli ezininzi kunye nokufunda kokuqinisa:
1) Ukufunda ngeProfayili yoMthwalo: Ukufunda rhoqo iimpawu zokuziphatha kokusetyenziswa kombane kwiprojekthi nganye, ukuchonga iincopho zomthwalo, iipateni zokusetyenziswa kombane ebusuku, umahluko phakathi kweentsuku zeveki kunye neeholide, njl.njl., ukwakha iprofayili yomthwalo eyenzelwe wena kakhulu.
2) Uqikelelo lokuveliswa kwamandla e-photovoltaic: Ukudibanisa idatha yemozulu ukuze kuqikelelwe ngokuchanekileyo isiphumo se-photovoltaic;
3) Uqikelelo lwendlela amaxabiso ombane ahamba ngayo: Qagela ukuguquguquka kwamaxabiso ombane ngokusekelwe kwidatha yemarike kwaye uphuhlise amaqhinga afanelekileyo okutshaja nokukhupha itshaja;
4) Ukulungiswa kokujikeleza kunye noseto oluguquguqukayo: Ukusebenzisa icebo lokuhlanganisa iimodeli ezininzi, ukudibanisa ukuqikelela imozulu kunye nomzekelo wokuziphatha komthwalo, kunye nokwakha iindlela ezifanelekileyo zokucwangcisa ngokusebenzisa ukuqinisa ukufunda kunye nokulinganisa ngokomzimba; ngaxeshanye, ukuxhasa uhlengahlengiso lwesicwangciso semihla ngemihla kunye nokuvumela ucwangciso olwenziwe ngokwezifiso ngokusekelwe kukhetho lomsebenzisi. Kwixesha elizayo, njengoko iimodeli ze-AI ziqhubeka nokukhula kwaye amaqhinga e-algorithm ephuculwa ngokuqhubekayo, iinkqubo ze-photovoltaic kunye nokugcina amandla ziya kusuka ekubeni "zisebenziseke" ziye ekubeni "zisetyenziswe kakuhle", zinceda abasebenzisi abaninzi ukuba bafezekise ukusetyenziswa kwamandla okukrelekrele ngokwenene kunye neenzuzo zexesha elide.
IV. I-Smart Photovoltaic kunye ne-Energy Storage Microgrid, Ukunika amandla iiFektri zeZero-Carbon! Isicwangciso seminyaka emihlanu se-15 saseTshayina sicebisa ngokucacileyo uphuhliso lwezixhobo zamandla ezisasazwe kunye nokwakhiwa kweefektri kunye neepaki ze-zero-carbon. NgoDisemba ka-2025, iKhomishini yoPhuhliso lweSizwe kunye noHlaziyo, uMphathiswa wezoShishino kunye neTekhnoloji yoLwazi, kunye noLawulo lwezoMandla lweSizwe babhengeze ngokudibeneyo iipaki ezingama-52 ze-zero-carbon ezikumgangatho wesizwe. NgoJanuwari ka-2026, uMphathiswa wezoShishino kunye neTekhnoloji yoLwazi kunye namanye amasebe amane bakhuphe "Iingcamango eziSikhokelo malunga noKuqhuba uKwakhiwa kweeFektri zeZero-Carbon," becebisa ukuba iqela leefektri ze-zero-carbon liza kulima kwaye lakhiwe kwiifektri ezinkulu ezisixhenxe, kubandakanya ii-photovoltaics, iibhetri ze-lithium, kunye neemoto, ngo-2027; kwaye ziya kwanda ziye kwiifektri ezinkulu ezili-12 ngo-2030. Kunokuqikelelwa ukuba iifektri kunye neepaki ze-zero-carbon ezigxile "kumthwalo wombane" ziya kuba yenye yeemeko eziphambili zamandla amatsha kwixesha elizayo. Iimodeli ezifana noqhagamshelo lombane oluluhlaza ngqo kunye nee-smart microgrids ziya kuzisa amathuba ophuhliso abalulekileyo kwaye zibe ziimodeli ezibalulekileyo zophuhliso lwamandla amatsha. Phantsi kwezi meko kunye neemodeli, iimfuno zazo eziphambili zihambelana kakhulu nezo zabasebenzisi ePoland naseSweden: ukufikelela kwiindleko zombane ezifanelekileyo kwindawo yamaxabiso ombane atshintshayo ngokupheleleyo kwimarike. Amava avela kwiimarike zaphesheya abonisa ukuba ii-smart photovoltaic kunye nee-microgrids zokugcina amandla zinokunciphisa ngokufanelekileyo iindleko zombane zabasebenzisi kwaye zonyuse imbuyekezo yeeprojekthi ze-photovoltaic; ngaphezu koko, okukhona ukuguquguquka okukhulu kwamaxabiso ombane, kokukhona iziphumo zokuphunyezwa zingcono! Okwangoku, izitishi zamandla ezingaphezu kwe-17,000 kwihlabathi liphela ziye zamkela iimodeli ze-AI, ezigubungela iimeko zokufikelela kumaxabiso ombane atshintshayo kumazwe angama-47, zenza inkqubo yesicelo se-AI enamanqanaba amaninzi nesebenzisekayo.
Isiphelo
Ndithi ndlelantle kwixabiso lombane elisekelwe kwixesha lokusetyenziswa elimiselweyo, kwaye wamkelekile kwixesha lexabiso lombane elijolise kwimarike nelitshintshayo. Oku akupheleli kwixabiso leenkqubo zokugcina umbane ze-photovoltaic (PV) kunye nokugcinwa kwamandla, kodwa kukuqala kokwenyani kwexesha lamandla akrelekrele. Ngokusebenzisa ishedyuli ye-AI kunye nokulungelelaniswa kwe-microgrid, iinkqubo zokugcina umbane ze-PV kunye nokugcinwa kwamandla ziyaguquka ukusuka "kwizixhobo zokugcina amandla" ukuya "kwii-balancers zamandla akrelekrele", zibamba ixabiso phakathi kokuguquguquka kwaye zenze ikamva ngokutsha ngotshintsho.
Ixesha leposi: Jan-23-2026